Three More Superdelegates

09 May 2008 03:34 pm

Three more superdelegates for Obama: New Mexico superdelgate Laurie Weahkee, Rep. Mazie Hirono (D-Hawaii), and Wilber Lee Jeffcoat, the vice chair of the South Carolina Democratic Party.

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Did McCain Vote For Bush In 2000?

09 May 2008 03:03 pm

Did John McCain cast his vote for George W. Bush in 2000? Arianna Huffington, a cast of actors, and a few unnamed folks say that he told them no. McCain, twice in the past two days, says of course he did.

There is no loved lost between Huffington and McCain these days. She's said for two years that McCain has been "hijacked by the right" and subsequently "sold his soul."

"For me, why this is so sad is that I am utterly convinced that he was genuine in 2000 about reforming the country and reforming the system," she says.

In theory, both sides have motive to shade the truth, here, so those sympathetic to McCain will accept his denial, and those unsympathetic to McCain will accept the testimonies as true. Three witnesses are presently on the record against McCain; currently, only McCain is on the record in favor of himself. (You should expect more folks to attest to having heard McCain say or signal that he voted against Bush in 2000.)

There are four possibilities:

(a) Either he did not vote for Bush in 2000 and is lying; the lie being a reflection of his need to harness his political history to his present ambitions; this preserves the campaign's need to present McCain as having always been a conservative Republican who, despite a brief fluffaroo in the 2000 primaries, has always been a party loyalist.

(b) Or he did vote for Bush in 2000 but, to impress his new Hollywood friends, told them that he did not;

(c) Or Huffington and the actors are lying in order to smear McCain; the narrative here would be that McCain is and has always been a Bush conservative; or they're trying to drive a wedge between him and Republicans

(d) Or everyone misremembers;

This story will not worry the McCain campaign because it sets him up as a foil for a plot by nefarious Hollywood liberals.

Here's one way to think about the question. Ask yourself whether McCain has changed his outlook, orientation and worldview since 2000; read news coverage of what else McCain said in 2000 and who he spent his time with after the election; go through his legislative record on domestic issues in 2001 and 2002 and 2003. If the McCain you see today is the same McCain who is the sum of all those parts, then his denial is more credible.

None of this is to suggest that McCain every voted for Al Gore. Indeed, one longtime McCain observer says that McCain was not shy about telling his friends that Gore was a "phoney."

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Veep Watch: Just Asking...

09 May 2008 02:10 pm

McCain-Fiorina '08?

What is true: Folks on the periphery of McCain's world are talking her up.

What I don't know: Basically everything else.

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Obama: Clinton's On "Anyone's" Shortlist

09 May 2008 02:09 pm

In Beaverton, OR today. responding to a question about whether Sen. Clinton would be his running mate:

"I have not won the nomination yet; it would be presumptuous of me to suggest that she is going to be my running mate while we are still actively running."

"I will say that she has shown herself to be an extraorindary candidate and an extraordinary public servent. She is hard working, she is tough, she is very smart, and so I think she would be on anyone's shortlist."


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Rahm's Spokesperson Walks It Back

09 May 2008 12:41 pm

Sarah Feinberg, the communications director for the House Democratic Caucus, e-mails;

While I realize it's a slow news day, and all 08 reporters feel every news bit must be immediately made out to be breathless, breaking, and instantly analyzed in order to break thru, I would like to clarify two points:

1. All Rahm said was that Senator Obama is clearly now the frontrunner, which by and large means, because of the calendar, he is the presumptive nominee, at this point. He was stating the obvious. Its about the calendar.

2. The "presumptive" quote is only accurate if you ignore the several sentences proceeding this half sentence and the several minutes of conversation that followed it. I'd call it selective quoting. Congressman Emanuel also stated about 90 seconds after this that he thought Senator clinton can still win the nomination and he stands by that.

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McCain's Best Argument Against Obama....

09 May 2008 12:15 pm

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Who's The CA Superdelegate Teased On The Page?

09 May 2008 12:04 pm

Here:

It's not Christine Pelosi.

It's not Bob Mullholland.

Update: It's Mr. Super himself, Ed Espinoza.


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Reality Principle Watch: A Clinton Power Point Presentation

09 May 2008 12:00 pm

Here's a Power Point presentation that Sen. Clinton has sent to superdelegates arguing that she's the strongest candidate in the general election.

And here's a letter written by a dozen members of Congress to undecided "automatic delegates" seeking their forbearance.

Swing State Democrats Say Hillary Best For Top Of Ticket The text of the letter is below.

Dear Fellow Democrat,

We are writing to you because of our shared belief in our Party’s principles and our commitment to ensuring that we have the strongest possible nominee to lead our ticket against John McCain and the Republicans in November.

The decision about who to support to be our Party’s nominee is not one that any of us should take lightly. We haven’t. But, after giving this important decision a great deal of thought, we are convinced that Hillary Clinton has the vision, skills and commitment to make the changes our country needs. As Democrats who have run and won in competitive Congressional districts and battleground states, we believe that Hillary is best positioned to successfully lead the Democratic ticket in districts and states like ours around the country.

As you know, Hillary has racked up victories in bellwether states like Ohio, Pennsylvania and now Indiana that are absolutely vital to winning the White House and maintaining our Congressional majority in the fall. Hillary has won the big battleground states by connecting with voters whose support we must have to win the general election. Her victories in Pennsylvania and Indiana were all the more impressive after being outspent by as much as two or three to one.

Pennsylvania was not just a victory for Hillary Clinton. It was also a wake- up call for superdelegates, forcing us to ask ourselves two essential questions: 1) Which candidate can carry the magic 270 electoral votes to win in the fall? 2) Which candidate is most likely to help our fellow Democrats in down-ballot races? We believe the answer to both of these questions is Hillary Clinton.

On the first question, Hillary has shown she can win the all-important battleground states like Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida even while being outspent. This speaks to her ability to connect with voters we must deliver in the fall, including blue collar Democrats who can sway this election as they have in the past.

On the second question, Hillary has won rural and suburban districts which we as Democrats must carry to maintain our edge in Congress. Of the fifteen districts rated “toss up” by the Cook Political Report, Hillary has now won ten. Of the 20 districts we picked up in 2006 that had gone for President Bush just two years before, Hillary has now won 16. She is strong in the places we must win to hold and expand our majority.

This is a historically close race. The candidates are separated by a mere percentage point or two and the path to victory for each candidate is the same: win in the upcoming states and secure enough pledged and automatic delegates to get to the number required to win the nomination.

The race now turns to the remaining six contests where the focus will be squarely on the economy. Voters in our states and across the country are voting on issues that affect them, their communities and their children’s future. We believe that they will decide that Hillary is the candidate who best understands those issues and has the best solutions to address them.

We Democrats are justifiably proud of both of our candidates, and if Senator Obama is our Party’s nominee, we will enthusiastically support him. But our responsibility is not to choose simply to support the eventual nominee; it is to help select the nominee who is best for our party and best for our country. Our choice is clear: Hillary Clinton is that candidate. We believe she should be your choice as well.

Thank you for consideration.

Sincerely,

Rep. Michael Arcuri (NY-24)

Rep. Shelley Berkley (NV-01)

Rep. Marion Berry (AR-1)

Rep. Henry Cuellar (TX-28)

Rep. Kirsten Gillibrand (NY-20)

Rep. Gene Green (TX -29)

Rep. John Hall (NY-19)

Rep. Darlene Hooley (OR-5)

Rep. Kendrick B. Meek (FL-17)

Rep. Stephanie Tubbs Jones (OH-11)

Rep. Silvestre Reyes (TX-16)

Rep. Mike Ross (AR-4)

Rep. Joe Sestak (PA-8)

Rep. Ike Skelton (MO-4)

Rep. John Tanner (TN-8)

Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (FL-20)

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Reality Principle Watch: As Rahm Goes, So Goes The Party?

09 May 2008 11:56 am

Rep. Rahm Emanuel's comments are more interesting because of who he is rather than what he says. Indeed, his words reflect the developing consensus of many high-profile Clinton supporters. The race is over, but let's let Clinton will determine when and how to exit.

"At this point, Barack is the presumptive nominee," said Rep. Rahm Emanuel during the New Yorker's magazine conference. "Hillary can't win but something could happen that Barack could lose the nomination."

Emanuel wouldn't go so far as to say that Clinton should drop out. "Next question!" he declared when asked. But his voice does carry political sway. The congressman has been staunchly non-committal throughout the primary process. And his ties to the Clinton administration and connections to fellow Chicago pol Obama make him one of the key figures who could help facilitate an end to the nomination battle.

Clearly, party unity was on Emanuel's mind.

"What Hillary does in the next month is important," he said. "If she spends her time contrasting with Senator McCain, drawing distinctions that help the Democratic Party, that's productive. If it's done in another way, that's not productive."

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Obama's Massive Voter Registration Kickoff -- More

09 May 2008 11:12 am

For weeks, core volunteers have been staffing and organizing phone banking events, signing up volunteers for the Obama campaign's massive voter registration rallies in 110 cities across the country.

Says one volunteer organizer: "These volunteer lists were built with months and months worth of campaign events, visibility events, marches and social gatherings leading into super Tuesday. Every single event included a determined effort to sign up new supporters, and press those supporters to signal an interest in volunteering. I've heard casual mention that the nyc team alone has something like 15,000 potential volunteers names and contact information."

Here's an e-mail from another organizer:

---------- Forwarded message ---------- From: Faina XXX Date: Thu, May 8, 2008 at 3:52 PM Subject: Details on staffing the May 10th event To: Faina XXX


Hello all,

Thank you for volunteering to help out with the Vote for Change rally, your experience is critical in ensuring that this event goes smoothly.

Before I can get into details about the actual program, I want to ask if any of you are available to help with setup on Friday, May 9th at 3pm. We will be putting together packets for volunteers, and making signs. Because we are expecting a turnout of about 800 - 1,000 people, we will need to have enough packets ready for each volunteer. If you are not available tomorrow, it's totally fine, although any help that you can give is greatly appreciated.
As for the day of the event, we are asking that staffers get to the church at around 10:30 - 11:00. We will be needing people to direct the lines that will be forming outside of the church, there will most likely be two lines. The church is wheelchair accessible, so we will be needing volunteers to direct traffic through the wheelchair accessible entrance. There will also be sign in tables, where volunteers will be receiving their packets.

We will also need ushers to direct people to their seats, and then to their staging location captains, after the training.

I will continue to update you all on the program, as the details come in. In the meantime, please let me know if you are available to help out on Friday.

Thank you!

--
Faina XXX
Obama for America
(XXX) XXX-XXXX

How sophisticated is Barack Obama's voter database and contact mining? Testimony from reader TDE:

"I donated a small amount and supplied my work contact information below before the California primary. A few days later, I get a message on my home answering machine – not the numbers below and _not_ a listed number – thanking me for my support and inviting me to an event “at a neighbor’s house” two blocks from my house (miles away from the information I supplied below). I was not contacted at my work address. So they took my name from the donation and then located my unlisted home phone number and unprovided home address and put it in their database so they could contact me for a neighborhood meet up. "


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Why Won't Edwards Endorse?

09 May 2008 10:02 am

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Another Obama Superdelegate: John Gage

09 May 2008 09:39 am

President of the American Federation of Government Employees.

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McCain To Speak At the NRA Convention

09 May 2008 08:58 am

Aides say Sen. John McCain has accepted an invitation to speak at the National Rifle Association's annual exposition and convention next week in Louisville, KY.

He will appear on Friday afternoon, an NRA spokesman said.

McCain has authored legislation tightening loopholes at gun shows and wants to reduce the flood of cheap guns into the market, but he opposes restrictions on so-called assault weapons and does not support holding gun manufacturers liable for illegal gun trafficking. In South Carolina last year, McCain said simply that he believes in "no gun control."

The NRA has sparred with McCain over campaign finance regulation, and the Gun Owners of America, more hardline than the NRA, has given McCain an "F-" ranking for his alleged apostasies.

Courting the NRA has benefits -- its millions and millions of members, including many Democrats -- and its risks. The NRA would probably do Sen. McCain's bidding regardless -- Obama presents such a contrast on gun rights. There's a chance that appearances before groups like the NRA could undercut McCain's effort to attract soft Republicans, independents and Democrats -- precisely the groups with which he underperforms today.

An NRA spokesman had no immediate comment.

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The Politics Of The FEC

09 May 2008 08:33 am

Why did the White House jump one of its favorites, FEC chairman David Mason? To help John McCain with his argument before the committee that he legally and properly withdrew from the public financing him? To help him obtain public financing for the general election? The McCain campaign does not deny that they lobbied members of Congress to achieve this end result. Trevor Potter, McCain's general counsel, points out that such nominations are the province of the White House, and not McCain. Here's his reasoning:

So, let me say that I think the criticism of the President's decision not to re-appoint Dave Mason rests on a faulty assumption. Critics write as if Commissioner Mason has already determined that Sen. McCain has violated federal campaign finance law, and that he would so find if only he is on the Commission when a quorum is restored. I do not believe this is the case. Commissioner Mason wrote the campaign in February to ask for additional information concerning Sen. McCain's withdrawal from the public funding system, and it was provided to him in full. Commissioner Mason did not state that the McCain campaign acted improperly in any way: he stated that he believed the FEC had to vote on Sen. McCain's withdrawal from the primary funding system, while the campaign's lawyers do not think such a vote is required. The McCain campaign believes that Commissioner Mason's questions have been answered satisfactorily, and that if he is on the Commission when a quorum is restored he will agree that Sen. McCain's withdrawal from the system was proper. Accordingly, given the lack of evidence that Commissioner Mason thinks otherwise, the controversy about the White House decision to nominate someone else for the Mason seat seems to be a manufactured one.

Mr. Mason was not given any information about the sudden White House decision to drop his renomination.

Bob Bauer, Barack Obama's lawyer, is having none of it:

Of course, the appearance is fairly troubling here. One minute, this Commissioner is in good standing and the next minute on his way out the door, and what happens in between is that he becomes famous for challenging John McCain’s conduct of his legal affairs. McCain, fully versed in the preoccupations of reform, appreciates as well as anyone else and better than most the significance of disturbing "appearances", and yet here he is content to endure them, at his own expense. It is apparently worth it.

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Obama Nets Two Superdelegates

09 May 2008 08:14 am

** Rep. Chris Carney (D-PA) endorses HRC. (+1)

** Rep. Peter DeFazio (D-OR) endorses Obama (+0)

** Rep. Donald Payne (D-NJ) switches from Clinton to Obama (-2)

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Responding To Salter

08 May 2008 07:44 pm

The Obama campaign responds to Mark Salter's letter:

“Clearly losing one’s bearings has no relation to age, given this bizarre rant that Mark Salter just sent out. It’s clear why a candidate offering a third term of George Bush’s disastrous economic policies and failed strategy in Iraq would want to distract and attack, but it’s not the kind of campaign John McCain has promised the American people that he would run."

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Salter: Obama Attacked McCain's Age

08 May 2008 06:17 pm

John McCain's senior adviser, Mark Salter, writing in a measured high dudgeon, accuses Barack Obama of playing the Age card and defends the McCain campaign's practice of pointing out Hamas's "endorsement" of Obama:

To: Interested Parties

From: Mark Salter, Senior Advisor

Date: May 8, 2008

Re: Senator Obama's Attack Today

First, let us be clear about the nature of Senator Obama's attack today: He used the words 'losing his bearings' intentionally, a not particularly clever way of raising John McCain's age as an issue. This is typical of the Obama style of campaigning.

We have all become familiar with Senator Obama's new brand of politics. First, you demand civility from your opponent, then you attack him, distort his record and send out surrogates to question his integrity. It is called hypocrisy, and it is the oldest kind of politics there is.

It is important to focus on what Senator Obama is attempting to do here: He is trying desperately to delegitimize the discussion of issues that raise legitimate questions about his judgment and preparedness to be President of the United States.

Through their actions and words, Senator Obama and his supporters have made clear that ANY criticism on ANY issue -- from his desire to raise taxes on millions of small investors to his radical plans to sit down face-to-face with Iranian President Ahmadinejad – constitute negative, personal attacks.

Senator Obama is hopeful that the media will continue to form a protective barrier around him, declaring serious limits to the questions, discussion and debate in this race.

Senator Obama has good reason to think this plan will succeed, as serious journalists have written of the need for 'de-tox' to cure 'swooning' over Senator Obama, and others have admitted to losing their objectivity while with him on the campaign trail.

Today, Senator Obama is complaining about comments John McCain made about a senior Hamas advisor stating that Hamas would welcome Senator Obama's election as president. Indeed, on April 13th, senior Hamas political advisor Ahmed Yousef said, 'We don't mind – actually we like Mr. Obama. We hope he will (win) the election and I do believe he is like John Kennedy, great man with great principle, and he has a vision to change America to make it in a position to lead the world community but not with domination and arrogance.'

The McCain campaign has never suggested that Senator Obama supports Hamas' agenda, but it is more than fair to raise this quote about Senator Obama because it speaks to the policy implications of his judgment.

Just today, the president of Iran, whom Senator Obama wants to meet with unconditionally, called the state of Israel a 'stinking corpse.' Iran is the paymaster and state sponsor of Hamas.

In his victory speech this week, Senator Obama stated that 'wisdom' is meeting with our enemies, including Iran's Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, North Korea's Kim Jong Il, Venezuela's Hugo Chavez and Cuba's Raul Castro. John McCain couldn't disagree more. Rather than giving tyrants and dictators the prestige of meeting with an American president, John McCain will instead meet with the champions of human freedom around the world and opposition leaders fighting for liberty

We understand why Senator Obama doesn't want to engage in a debate over leadership and judgment with John McCain, but the American people demand that debate take place.

These are serious times that call for a serious debate on the profound issues facing our future. John McCain is ready for that debate and we hope Senator Obama will one day get serious and join it.

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Orange You Glad You Clicked On This Link?

08 May 2008 05:57 pm

Chris Matthews.

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Obama Pays Attention To Israel's 60th Anniversary

08 May 2008 05:51 pm

In interviews:

In events: he's speaking at an anniversary event tonight at the Mellon Auditorium in DC.

And via an op-ed in Yediot Ahronot:

The 60th anniversary is also an ideal time to celebrate this special relationship between our two countries. Washington and Jerusalem not only share ideals and values, but we share common interests. The bond between Americans and Israelis remains unshakable. It is a tie that every American president (whether Democrat or Republican) has and will continue to uphold.

Still, there is no greater gift America can give to Israel--no better way we can salute our Israeli friends on this important anniversary -- than to redouble our commitment to help Israel achieve its goal of true security through lasting peace with its neighbors. The United States does Israel no favors when it neglects opportunities for progress in Arab-Israeli peacemaking.

Israelis can always count on the United States to stand with them against any threat, from as close as Gaza or as far as Tehran, and to ensure that Israel has the means to defend itself. Israel has real enemies, and we will face them together. But standing with Israel also requires America to do everything it can to reduce and ease the conflict with the Arab neighbors. To do any less would be to prevent Israel from achieving its full, extraordinary potential.

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Rick Larsen Endorses Obama

08 May 2008 05:35 pm

Rep. Rick Larsen (D-WA) has endorsed Barack Obama, per The Hill.

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Pay To Attention To Obama's Voter Registration Drive

08 May 2008 04:32 pm

The Obama campaign calls its "Vote for Change" voter registration drive a mere voter registration drive. Nothing to see here, folks, except for ordinary people helping ordinary people gain the franchise.

But it's more than that. The Vote For Change program will lay the foundation for Obama's general election get-out-the-vote efforts. Obama aides won't say much more, but I gather that the campaign is constructing an incredibly elaborate online interface to allow its more than a million donors and volunteers to directly persuade their neighbors through a variety of media. Names gathered from the voter registration effort will be merged with names gathered through Obama's primary efforts and the names off of the Democratic Party's integrated voter file as well as lists purchased from outside vendors.

On election day, Obama might have more than a million individuals volunteering on his behalf. That should scare the beejeesus out of the McCain campaign and the RNC.

The latest Obama campaign release is after the jump.

Continue reading "Pay To Attention To Obama's Voter Registration Drive" »

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No MI/FL Deal Imminent

08 May 2008 04:21 pm

Here's an e-mail sent by Florida Democratic Party spokesman Mark Bubriski to Democratic chiefs of staff in Florida. The AP story he refers to I cannot find online anymore.

From: Mark Bubriski Sent: Thursday, May 08, 2008 2:33 PM To: Congressional COSs Cc: Leonard Joseph; Karen Thurman Subject: important clarificatio

Congressional Staff,

The AP story that just hit the wire is causing a little media frenzy in light of developments in Michigan - however, it's inaccurate.

At least as far the state party knows, there is no imminent "deal" or "plan" to seat the Florida delegation in the works. We continue to discuss the issue with the campaigns and the DNC as we have for months now, but we're not on the verge of any deal nor are we talking about a one.

We have asked AP to correct the story.

Please feel free to pass on to your bosses and press.

Thank you,

Mark

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Cindy McCain's Tax Returns

08 May 2008 04:18 pm

Item: Cindy McCain says she'll never release her tax returns

Comment: So the McCain campaign insists. But this question will return during the general election under the force of holding powerful interests accountable, and No, No, No might not cut it.

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Clinton Pushes Obama To Resolve MI/FL Delegation Quandary

08 May 2008 04:14 pm

The Clinton campaign denies that Clinton intends to hold as collateral a resolution to the Florida and Michigan question to find a way for her to exit gracefully.


Dear Senator Obama,

This has been an historic and exciting campaign. Millions of new voters have been brought into the process and their enthusiasm for the Democratic Party and the principles for which you and I have fought and continue to fight is unprecedented.

One of the foremost principles of our party is that citizens be allowed to vote and that those votes be counted. That principle is not currently being applied to the nearly 2.5 million people who voted in primaries in Florida and Michigan. Whoever emerges as the Democratic nominee will be hamstrung in the general election if a fair and quick resolution is not reached that ensures that the voices of these voters are heard. Our commitment now to this goal could be the difference between winning and losing in November

I have consistently said that the votes cast in Florida and Michigan in January should be counted. We cannot ignore the fact that the people in those states took the time to be a part of this process and to make their preferences known. When efforts were untaken by leaders in those states to hold revotes to ensure that they had a voice in selecting our nominee, I supported those efforts. In Michigan, I supported a legislative effort to hold a revote that the Democratic National Committee said was in complete compliance with the party's rules. You did not support those efforts and your supporters in Michigan publically opposed them. In Florida a number of revote options were proposed. I am not aware of any that you supported. In 2000, the Republicans won an election by successfully opposing a fair counting of votes in Florida. As Democrats, we must reject any proposals that would do the same.

Your commitment to the voters of these states must be clearly stated and your support for a fair and quick resolution must be clearly demonstrated.

I am asking you to join me in working with representatives from Florida and Michigan and the Democratic National Committee to arrive at a solution that honors the votes of the millions of people who went to the polls in Florida and Michigan. It is not enough to simply seat their representatives at the convention in Denver. The people of these great states, like the people who have voted and are to vote in other states, must have a voice in selecting our party's nominee.

Sincerely

Hillary Rodham Clinton

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A Cap On Donations For Obama

08 May 2008 04:09 pm

Headline: Obama floated idea of capping general election donations.

"We need to separate money from political influence. It's an experiment in open source politics," Obama told a crowd of supporters in Silicon Valley. "One thing that I am considering, and my advisers might not like this: I may limit campaign contribution amounts per person to less than the federal limit in the general election."

As Predicted.

In point of fact, Obama could opt out of the system and easily raise $150m from donors contributing no more than $150 a piece. There's been talk that he might cap donations, but I am told by a senior campaign official that Obama hasn't considered that idea.

The Message?

He could argue that the collective action of 1,000,000 people voluntarily deciding to contribute money to his campaign is much more democratic than a government-imposed levy on the taxpayer

Scary for John McCain to think that the number is up to 1,500,000 people now....

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