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Annotating An Obama Campaign Memo

24 Jul 2007 01:55 pm

TO: Interested Parties

FR: Obama Communications

RE: Obama Wins Debate and Commander in Chief Test

DA: July 24, 2007

Can he be commander in chief? This is a threshold Obama knows he must cross. The campaign probably didn't like the tone of the media coverage. HRC was annointed as presidential for insisting that she would not be a propaganda tool for foreign governments and Obama's answer was her foil.

Here is a meta-problem: Obama is clearly ready to start making clear distinctions with Clinton, but something about the debate format stymies his nerve. It's one thing to say out loud that Hillary Clinton exemplifies Washington double speak. It's quite a bit less powerful to say it in a memorandum sent to reporters.

Last night at the debate, Obama displayed the judgment he will exhibit as Commander in Chief that impressed focus groups conducted by both Fox and CNN.

Debate focus groups are useful, but they come with a caveat: often, people in groups say they expect others want to hear.

He showed his willingness to lead and ask tough questions on matters of war and he offered a dramatic change from the Bush administration's seven-year refusal to protect our security interests by using every tool of American power available – including diplomacy.

Senator Hillary Clinton, however, did nothing to dispel questions that have arisen as a result of her support for the war in Iraq, even as the National Intelligence Estimate has found that our focus on Iraq has hindered our ability to track down and destroy al Qaeda. When pressed, she gave no explanation for not demanding an exit strategy before we invaded a country riven by deep ethnic rivalries that portended civil war and a long, uncertain occupation. Obama warned of such an outcome in 2002, and said the war would undermine us in the battle against Al Qaeda, as has now proven true.

This might be the most direct charge ever lobbed at Hillary by Obama's campaign.

From the debate -- Obama: …one thing I have to say about Senator Clinton's comments a couple of moments ago. I think it's terrific that she's asking for plans from the Pentagon, and I think the Pentagon response was ridiculous. But what I also know is that the time for us to ask how we were going to get out of Iraq was before we went in. And that is something that too many of us failed to do. We failed to do it. And I do think that that is something that both Republicans and Democrats have to take responsibility for. When I am president of the United States, when I send our troops into battle, I am going to be absolutely sure that it is based on sound intelligence, and I'm going to tell the truth to the American people, as well as the families who are being asked to sacrifice.

On issues of national security, Obama made clear that making America safer would require using tough diplomacy with countries like Iran and North Korea that have seen dramatic expansions of their nuclear programs during the seven years of the Bush presidency.

From the debate -- Obama: Now, Ronald Reagan and Democratic presidents like JFK constantly spoke to Soviet Union at a time when Ronald Reagan called them an evil empire. And the reason is because they understood that we may not trust them and they may pose an extraordinary danger to this country, but we had the obligation to find areas where we can potentially move forward. And I think that it is a disgrace that we have not spoken to them. We've been talking about Iraq -- one of the first things that I would do in terms of moving a diplomatic effort in the region forward is to send a signal that we need to talk to Iran and Syria because they're going to have responsibilities if Iraq collapses.

The questioner asked whether Obama would agree to meet with these leaders "without preconditions," the assumption being that the grandees of our least-favorite countries would be expected to take as much from us as they were willing to give. To Hillary, that's a moral equivalence she would not concede.

Earlier this year, Senator Clinton claimed: I think it is a terrible mistake for our president to say he will not talk with bad people. [Associated Press, 4/23/07]. She reversed herself last night, disagreeing with Senator Obama's assertion that we should use every tool at the president's disposal to address problems before they become threats.

And she said as much in the debate last night. What she didn't say in April, and what she refused to say last night, was that she would approach these countries with a tabula rasa.

Obama's tough but smart approach to America's diplomacy is exactly the kind of change and new thinking that excites voters about an Obama presidency. In the focus group conducted in New Hampshire by CNN, voters showed they were hungry for this approach.

"Tough but smart" is an Evan Bayh phrase, incidentally.
....

The American people choose straight talk over Washington double-speak, and they know that change must be more than a slogan.
In the eyes of the Obama campaign, people want to turn the page and what George Bush has been doing -- the approach they're accusing Clinton of endorsing -- hasn't been working. To Obama, there is a distinction between negotiating out of fear and fearing to negotiate at all. Perhaps the focus group participants saw Clinton's answer as identical to Bushian diplomacy. One might point out the liberal, pacifist inclinations of many primary voters, but this memo is aimed at influencing perceptions of the primary, not the general.

Comments (16)

Wake up America??? Who is the real leader with the most experience, who has met with world leaders already?? who is the most straight forward candidate?? Open up your eyes, if Hillary's last name was Smith she would even be considered. Obama has 3 years in the senate he is burly a junior Senator come one wake up... Joe Biden 2008

Those damn Liberal Pacifists!! Just look at all the trouble they've gotten us into over the past six years. If it wasn't for all the influence they've wielded over the national discourse, America would be a veritable paradise right now! Damn hippies.

MarineVet, your post confuses me. Biden may have experience, but he's got a few significant minuses--he's horrible off the cuff (which belies an inability to make snap judgments--not that you have to in the Senate but you do as President), he has foot-in-mouth disease, and he comes from a small, electorally irrelevant, blue state, to name a few. Either he or Richardson will be the next SoS, anyway, and the other will likely be VP.

You are right that Hillary wouldn't be considered if she were a he. A political husband and DLC Democrat who positioned himself as a hawk, was unpopular by the public and trusted by nobody? Non-starter. Obama lacks experience, true, and that will be an obstacle for him to overcome. But he does have a powerful story, and if he can tie his actual experience into how it has influenced his thinking and leadership, it's not insurmountable. He's doing that to some extent. Richardson is the counterpoint here: he always talks about all his experience, but he never gives a reason why what he learned as, say, Secretary of Energy makes him equipped to lead--it's just that he's got a lot of experience.

I agree with etc here. You can't just claim experience because you've "been there". You have to give evidence that shows you know how to handle yourself in many situations. I'm not by any means backing any candidate, but I think Obama brings a fresh perspective because he's a quick thinker and relaxed on the podium.

Whether or not he has the experience to be President is just one element. A President can pump his cabinet full of experts and provided he listens to them and doesn't force their positions like the current President, then experience is a moot point. We need a clear headed individual with real ideas to solve America's problems. Not someone who's going to pander to conservatives and wear a donkey sash.

I don't agree with Obama on many points of his platform, but I agree with his position on diplomacy. Diplomacy should always come first with friend or foe. That's what makes us better.

The next President should have a clear understanding of foreign affairs. They should be prepared to tackle domestic issues like health care and the burdens of the middle class. And they should be someone that we can look to as Americans and be proud they represent us.

With this, I'm not really in the Biden camp, sorry.

The questioner asked whether Obama would agree to meet with these leaders "without preconditions," the assumption being that the grandees of our least-favorite countries would be expected to take as much from us as they were willing to give.

I don't agree. It seems the question was about not having preconditions for talks, rather than not having preconditions for results. To that extent, Obama's approach is clearly right (and "serious") and the current administration's is clearly wrong (and "childlike" and "sulky").

You can argue about whether it's good tactics to send the President into the nitty-gritty of a negotiation, but it seems to me that what he was saying was he would make a symbolic gesture to all these countries, to say "We're willing to talk, if you have something serious to say". Surely that's sensible, and surely it would be a good way of demonstrating to the world that America was finally in the post-Bush era.

Hillary Clinton is not different from George Bush -
No High Level Diplomacy - just jalk to my people.

So much for our high hope of someone that would hit the groung running in 2009.

I don't agree. It seems the question was about not having preconditions for talks, rather than not having preconditions for results.

That is exactly right. The ENTIRE question, which MSM leaves out, refers to talks that acheived unexpectedly good outcomes (Anwar Sadat), because foreign heads of state were willing to meet each other when foreign policy realists said nothing could be done.

Comments from Clinton in February town hall meeting in New Hampshire:

"What we need is a president who will reach out to the rest of the world and make it very clear — the cowboys are gone. You don't refuse to talk to bad people. I think life is filled with uncomfortable situations where you have to deal with people you might not like. I'm sort of an expert on that. I have consistently urged the president to talk to Iran and talk to Syria. I think it's a sign of strength, not weakness."

Sounds like Clinton is drifting more toward a Bush-like stance on speaking with mean dictators like Ahmedinejad, who just happened to have attained power through popular election. Democracy is only good if we like you.

I don't know that I'll vote for Clinton in the primary, but wasn't the question also asking if she'd meet with these people her first year in office (was this the same question or a different one?) At one point, Clinton was very careful to say she would not necessarily meet with certain leaders the 1st year in her presidency because she'd want to be certain about the motives for such meetings so as not to be used. I'm not sure her response was so terrible.

As for this: unpopular by the public and trusted by nobody?...

Clinton's still polling well, so I don't think this is true either. And I can't believe I have to say this, but it's just plain offensive to say that she's a viable candidate only because she's a woman.

what stymies Obama in making any inroads into splicing clinton the debates is time. you cannot destroy someone's aura built on lies in 60 second sound bites. he can zing her like he did with Iraq but, to take her down will require a bit more time. Knowing Obama he would do so in an elegant and quite final way.

WE AMERICAN-MUSLIMS WANT HUSSEIN OBAMA TO BE THE NEXT PRESIDENT. MUSLIMS MAKE BETTER POLITICIANS. (ONCE A MUSLIM, ALWAYS A MUSLIM).

WE APPEAL TO ALL FELLOW DEMOCRATS TO VOTE FOR HIM. IT IS ALLAH'S WILL.

WE AMERICAN-MUSLIMS WANT HUSSEIN OBAMA TO BE THE NEXT PRESIDENT. MUSLIMS MAKE BETTER POLITICIANS. (ONCE A MUSLIM, ALWAYS A MUSLIM).

WE APPEAL TO ALL FELLOW DEMOCRATS TO VOTE FOR HIM. IT IS ALLAH'S WILL.

I feel, as Americans, that we must support the candidate who tackles hard questions with complete understanding and pragmatism. Hillary, though I am not "wild" about her, is clearly the only candidate on the Democratic side who convinces me she is up to the task of being Commander in Chief. She is truly impressive and I would feel confident and secure having her as President in 2009 and beyond.

When I observe Barack Obama, and I have even attended one of his rallies, I feel no confidence at all that he can handle the job of President without a heck of a lot of trial and error and a great deal of help.

He just does not have it.

Hillary is a lie. She is fake. Why one would consider her as a serious candidate when she is responsible for the worst diplomatic blunder of our time-the Iraq war? She didn't just vote for it, she advocated the war and tried to take credit for it when Sadam Husien was elected. Wake up people! If you hate Bush for the same blunder, why not Hillary? She doesn't have the integrity to fulfill the dreams and hope of the democratic party. She is going to go with the polls in any issue if she becomes a president.

BTW, "fake Ahmed", the worst thing to be for the muslins, is to be a convert Christian.Believe me, I know what I am talking about. Actually, Barak Obama was never been a muslim.

"AHMED" ,

At best you are a dillusional muslim who believes obama was a muslim- which he is not and never has been.

At worst- and what i suspect is the truth-

you are a racist xenophobe with a disgusting fascist attitude towards people who appear different than you. (The most obvious way in which obama is diifferent than you is his superior intelligence, and his education.)

You are awful.

Good site! I'll stay reading! Keep improving!