BH: You know this because... zogby and ARG, the two least trusted of all the pollsters by her peers, (pollster.com) show her up by 4-7 points while everyone else shows an almost exact dead heat?
The Register intends to be a player (i.e., the decider) here in Iowa. Their poll usually comes out, somehow, the way they want it to. In '04, they sat on the results of their last poll before the Caucuses for 3 days before releasing them, to try to control the effect. Their endorsements were out of line with most others' reasoning at the time. In other words, not to be trusted completely, any more than other members of the mainstream media.
I was less surprised by the Democratic line-up than I was by the Republican. Huckabee's not-ready for prime time remarks following the assasination of PM Bhutto and Romney's movement don't appear in this poll; could the same be true of the much vaunted "Edwards surge." This poll has a very good track record, much better than the Iowa caucuses themselves. We'll have to see what Thursday brings.
Marc Ambinder, an Atlantic associate editor, is blogging the 2008 presidential election from the roadshows. He might also write the occasional post about aviation, national security, and cognitive neuroscience. Mostly politics, though.
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This morning's Zogby tracker showed the following movement over the past 24 hours:
+2 Edwards
-1 Clinton
-1 Obama
Posted by Petey | December 31, 2007 9:47 AM