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The Bhutto Assassination And The Presidential Race

27 Dec 2007 11:36 am

ITETT* just how the events overseas will focus the minds of Iowa voters, if at all, on what's really important.

But two leading** candidates -- Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani -- are closing the year with arguments that incorporate a perilous world.

Here is how one of Clinton's top aides describes her closing argument:

"After all the rallies, town halls and campaigning the last year, it is time to pick a president. Caucus Goers need to ask themselves who would be the best president? America faces a war abroad and a troubled economy at home – at this critical moment the answer is Hillary Clinton because she is tested, and ready to lead on day 1.”

And Rudy Giuliani, per an equally as a senior aide:

"Over the next few days, you will hear "leadership tested during times of crisis" as an umbrella for two major issues - national security and economic prosperity. In the context of those issues, you'll see Giuliani set himself apart from the others based both on his past performance and his vision for the future."

Mitt Romney, with his "radical Jihad" and John McCain, with his arguments about the linkages between the war in Iraq and Islamic terror, can re-center their stump speeches, too.

In late 2003, the capture of Saddam Hussein by U.S. forces boomeranged on Howard Dean, who (correctly, as it turns out, but clumsily) said that his capture had not made America any safer. The press response was vicious; Dean began to spiral; etc. etc.

Voters tend to process events more quickly these days, so it's unclear how long the topic of conversation will be Pakistan and terrorism.

* -- It's Too Early To Tell
** This is Joe Biden's wheelhouse, of course.

Here is his statement:


“This is a terrible day. My heart goes out to Benazir Bhutto’s family, friends and followers.

“Like her father before her, Benazir Bhutto worked her whole life – and gave her life – to help Pakistan become a democratic, secular and modern Muslim country. She was a woman of extraordinary courage who returned to Pakistan in the face of death threats and even after an assassination attempt the day of her return, she did not flinch. It was a privilege to know her these many years and to call her a friend.

“I am convinced Ms. Bhutto would have won free and fair elections next week. The fact that she was by far Pakistan’s most popular leader underscores the fact that there is a vast, moderate majority in Pakistan that must have a clear voice in the system. Her assassination makes it all the more urgent that Pakistan return to a democratic path.

“This fall, I twice urged President Musharraf to provide better security for Ms. Bhutto and other political leaders – I wrote him before her return and after the first assassination attempt in October. The failure to protect Ms. Bhutto raises a lot of hard questions for the government and security services that must be answered.

“I know that Benazir’s followers will be tempted to lash out in anger and violence. I urge them to remain calm – and not play into the hands of the forces of destruction. I urge Pakistan’s leaders to open a fully accountable and transparent investigation. We must find out who was behind this and bring those responsible to justice. And the United States should offer any assistance necessary, including investigative teams, to get to the bottom of this horror.

“The way to honor Benazir Bhutto is to uphold the values for which she gave her life: democracy, moderation and social justice. I join with the Pakistani people in mourning the loss of a dear friend.”

Comments (9)

...Mitt Romney, with his "radical Jihad"...

He's pretty conservative, but I think Guiliani is more of a Jihadist.

As I mentioned before, the victory on Jan. 3 will be by the Clinton Machine. The term, pick a president, is a superb. The Obama campaign (the one I support) has not been focused for past two-three weeks. Since the Shaheen visit on TV followed by Bill on Rose and then Bill chasing/constantly calling on the Register female editors, the race has shifted towards the Clinton Machine.

On Jan. 4, the Press will consider those attacks (Shaheen, Bill, Kerrey, Penn) as brillant master stokes and Obama's less energy as the reason for his defeat.

I am sad, very sad. Why cannot the Press play a role of an Umpire.

Whatever is happening in Pakistan is makings of US policy. And now the rethug morons like Romney, McCain, etc are going to continue the same policy. People are looking for a real change and not the same old policies.

If it matters, its most likely going to help Biden achieve viability in more precincts. Whether that helps or hurts Clinton is unclear but probably hurts her by taking some of the anybody-but-Clinton vote away from Obama and Edwards.

By the way, wasn't "ready to lead on day one" Bob Dole's slogan ...in 1988?

I think this all depends on how big Obama's change speech gets eclipsed in Iowa. I just read it over at the Page and its brilliant and it works on a lot of levels. I think that if the Pakistan thing scares people, it'd drive them to Clinton.

No doubt, this really takes away from the press he could have had on a crucial last day. But I'm not convinced it's the same as Sadam Hussein's capture was to Dean.

I doubt that this resonates a ton with the average voter in Iowa. It's different when a Saddma is captured or their are terrotist attacks in a Western place like London or Madrid. i wonder if this fades into the background for the average voter, just like every last Iraq suicide bombing in Oraq.

Of course, this is a huge geoploitical event for those of us in the know, and those of us in the know should be smart enough to realize that the policy of diverting attention from Afghanistan/Pakistan to Iraq supported by many in conventional washington was a mistake and those same conventional people saying that this proves we should stick with them is absurd. But to the average vote in iowa, I am just not sure this moves the needle that much even though there will be a lot of national news media coverage of it.

It is a good thing that you are remembering the little people, RKA. Quite big of you actually.

"Bill chasing/constantly calling on the Register female editors"

LOL!!!!

"We must find out who was behind this and bring those responsible to justice. And the United States should offer any assistance necessary, including investigative teams, to get to the bottom of this horror:" http://theseedsof9-11.com