« Here Now: The Clinton Campaign On The Iowa Poll | Main | Will Huckabee's Stunt Hurt Him? The Iowa Press Says... Probably Not. » And CNN's Poll Gives It Back To Clinton, Romney01 Jan 2008 06:00 am The margin of error is +/- 4.5%. The Republicans: Romney 31% (up from 25% two weeks ago) 50% are undecided. The Democrats: Clinton 33% (up from 30% two weeks ago) 30% are undecided. Comments (11)
How do you say Margin of error on this one not on the DMR. BTW who is considered the expert when it comes to polling IA? DMR. Also people forget that the independant numbers could represesnt dem who over the last cycle registered independant many people dem and republican over the last couple of years have registered themselves as independants 
How do you say Margin of error on this one not on the DMR. BTW who is considered the expert when it comes to polling IA? DMR. Also people forget that the independant numbers could represesnt dem who over the last cycle registered independant many people dem and republican over the last couple of years have registered themselves as independants
The truth of the matter is that with the small sample size, the inability of people to predict the composition of the electorate and most importantly with the distortionary effect of the caucus rules to voters' preferences, no one knows for shit what's going to happen. I would really like the media to give some focus to the idea that the Iowa caucus system is no way to elect a President.
Setting aside the fact that the DMR poll was larger with a smaller MOE, and it's good reputation, the real question is who gets the turnout right. CNN seems to hint at their turnout expectation with warning about "analyzing caucuses which often draw only about 100,000 people." This is the 'this happened back then, so expect the same now' assumption.
30 percent undecided for the D's and 50 percent for the R's?!?!? No Friggin way, that is just an irresponsible poll.
Wow, so all of a sudden according to the CORPORATE MEDIA POLLS, Edwards is sinking. Des Moines Register...Gannett Company, 6th largest media conglomerate CNN...Clinton News Network. I guess they decided to stop that "Edwards is gaining" headline dead in its tracks.
Maybe some people need to realize that the Des Moines Register IS NOT the same paper that it was in 2004. When ownership changed over to the 6th largest media conglomerate in the United States, all of that "non-biased" crap went right out the window. Tell me ONE CONGLOMERATE that doesn't have an agenda.
33 Clinton + 31 Obama + 22 Edwards + 30 undecided = A whopping 116%. Math are funs. But seriously folks, please provide evidence of a pattern of CNN polls being far off from the actual results in favor of the 'corporate' or Clinton candidate. Just listen to yourselves and think, please. I support Obama or Edwards, and hate the idea of Hillary, but that doesn't make me think every poll that comes out that doesn't have either of them in the lead is a conspiracy. Let's stop inventing conspiracy theories and patiently wait for what really matters: the actual vote.
You Mean Like The One That ARG Had Of Senator Clinton Leading The Field By 15% Points,Which Some How Disappeared The Same Day It Came Out With Mininmal Media Coverage,Fact Of The Matter Is 300 People Surveyed By People Who Are Not Even Democrats Do Not Account For The Outcome Of This Race.
Elmer Gantry Huckabee rides again
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Marc,
Are you surprised? After all, CNN is the Clinton News Network. You was obvious of most Americans, after the CNN/ YouTube debates who they favored. The "best political team on television" strain to even mention Obama's name much less give him some attention. On the CNN political ticker, Barack's coverage consists on random events and hit pieces. The fact that Barack technically be within the margin of error with Hillary should considered a 'victory' by the Obama camp.
Posted by Tommy Ates, Austin, TX | January 1, 2008 6:36 AM