The latest McClatchy/MSNBC survey:
Its three nights of interviews straddled the Iowa results — before, during and after — and could have recorded merely a blip for Obama or the start of a wave. It also came before potentially pivotal debates in New Hampshire Saturday night and Sunday that could swing the Tuesday vote in any direction.Underscoring the volatility: Three of ten likely voters in each party said they could still change their minds; nearly one of ten New Hampshire independents said they still hadn't decided in which primary to vote.
But the poll may have picked up the beginning of an Obama rally. Obama trailed Clinton by 30-27 the first two nights of the polling, then surged ahead by 39-32 Friday night — the day after Iowa. The nightly sample of 200 was small, however, and subject to a greater margin of error.
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This confirms almost all other polls showing a large surge for Obama: Rasmussen has him leading by 12, ARG has him leading by 12, Zogby has him leading by 8 in the post Iowa samples.
Posted by Ben | January 6, 2008 3:24 PM