Keep these two numbers in mind.
150,000 -- if turnout is significantly above that figure for Democrats, then Democrats say a victory for Barack Obama is almost assured. If it's 150,000 to 135,000, Democrats think that Clinton will win. If it's at 135,000 or lower, then Edwards is the man...
80,000 -- High turnout on the Republican side benefits Mike Huckabee; lower turnout benefits Mitt Romney.
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Gross estimated votes in Iowa from estimated Dem and GOP turnout and percentages. 10:50pm
http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/
Obama 82,654
Edwards 66,189
Clinton 65,084
Huckabee 31,500
Romney 21,600
Thompson 12,600
McCain 11,700
Democratic Landslide
Posted by David | January 3, 2008 10:51 PM