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Oh. There's The Bounce.

06 Jan 2008 10:20 pm

Sneaky fellah. Hiding from us. Must have thought New Hampshire was as cold as Iowa and didn't want to come out.

The CNN/WMUR/UNH track from Saturday night and into Sunday shows Obama at 39, Clinton at 29, and Edwards at 16.

Clinton leads among Democrats and Obama among independents.

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Comments (14)

Something for your amusement…

A 2008 Presidential Candidates Net Worth Graph in which the candidates are sized relative to their net worth…

http://thememlingindex.com/2008_presidential_candidates_net_worth_graph.html


You might be surprised at just how large Romney turned out.

Don’t forget to read my rant below the pic and links

Posted by Onslow Memling | January 6, 2008 10:40 PM

Clinton and Edwards should just "bounce" from the race now. It'll be over if Obama wins by 10 points, and then maybe I'll be able to stop taking Zanax.

Posted by Franken Blunt | January 6, 2008 10:40 PM

where does clinton lead among dems?

Posted by dr. no | January 6, 2008 10:51 PM

What is wrong with Mark Penn? Twice has he been caught lying in his memos regarding polls in a matter of 7 days.
So Mac, u have joined the Obamatrain now? Don't desert HRC's jet.

Posted by wjat iss wrong iv Mark Penn | January 6, 2008 10:51 PM

Marc,

When the real returns start coming in, could you use the standard formatting? On the night of the Iowa caucuses, your site looked like Matt Drudge threw up all over it.

Thanks

Posted by Ben | January 6, 2008 10:51 PM

It doesn't appear they broke down Dems v. Independents. No reason to say that Hillary leads among Dems.

Posted by Anonymous | January 6, 2008 11:09 PM

If you look at the UNH crosstabs (on their, not cnn's website), Obama leads among both.

Posted by Ben | January 6, 2008 11:20 PM

These polls are not representative of voters.

The NH voters are determined to vote by thousands and thousands for HRC. The entire voting action has had an interactive simulation (designed by Mark Penn). On Tues., what is real to HRC and Mark Penn is what reality will be. We will have no choice but to accept that reality.

HRC will be victorious. She has the right. She is owed the election.

Posted by eorse | January 6, 2008 11:40 PM

Nice catch, Ben

Also interesting that in NH, it seems as though its not quite the "generational" war it was in Iowa. Obama leads or ties in all age categories...

Posted by Michael | January 6, 2008 11:40 PM

Dissenting opinion, as Sullivan might say -- I really liked your caucus-night postings, including the myriad of fonts. It was a great compilation and you captured moments more effectively than most.

Posted by cms | January 6, 2008 11:46 PM

Marc,

I think this is a mistake: "Clinton leads among Democrats and Obama among independents."

According to the document ( http://i.a.cnn.net/cnn/2008/images/06/topnh11.pdf )

Obama is leading Clinton by margin of 34 to 26 among Democrats

Read question #13

13. (DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY:) Which Democratic candidate do you think best represents the values of Democrats like yourself?
Jan. 5-6 Jan. 4-5
Obama 34% 32%
Clinton 26% 28%
Edwards 18% 22%
Richardson 7% 4%
Kucinich 5% 3%
Gravel * 0
Someone else 1% 2%
No opinion 9% 10%

Posted by Wayne | January 7, 2008 12:14 AM

Obama may have gotten a bounce in NH, but according to the latest Rasumussen polls, he received zero bounce in the national polls, which will start to matter very soon.

Posted by mike | January 7, 2008 1:50 AM

RE: national polls

My understanding is that historically national polls have always lagged in reflecting momentum shifts.

Posted by Callimaco | January 7, 2008 3:58 AM