Fellow journalists and pundits. I have the same data you have... and I would just remind all of you that the first wave of exit poll data is not reportable or reported for a simple reason: the sample sizes are not large enough to accurately tell us much of anything, unless one candidate is getting, like, 80% of the vote.
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Even though I am an Obama supporter and it seems like the tea leaves may be headed his way based on intrade and how they are talking on MSNBC, I agree with Marc. I don't want to puff up Obama tonight only to have the polls be wrong. NH was traumatic enough. So, patience everyone! 
Or, you could post the data with that caveat and let us make our minds up for ourselves. We remember 2000 and 2004, and how "reliable" the early data was. But yeah, we can always use a reminder. We do not, however, need the patronizing tone.
National trend exit polls mean nothing. You have to look state by state and congressional district by congressional district. We just have a few more hours to wait. Let's let the folks in CA vote and then we can see the results. CNN is predicting a long and even night for the Democrats. I say this as a supporter of one candidate, but I don't want to have the same NH dynamic play out again because of skewed exit polls. The only poll that matters is the one that will be reported tonight.
Marc is so pathetic in trying to hide his bias for Hillary. Is there any doubt the early polls are in Obama's favor? Come on, Marc - stop being such a phony and just endorse Hillary.
To be fair, TCM, Marc's been more than fair to Obama lately, and definitely not showing a pro-Hillary bias. He's just taking the cautious route, which I have to endorse. You want to know the suck? Pop the champaigne based on early exits, and then have your whole day ruined by watching states get called in a different direction.
To be fair, Marc should admit his bias for Hillary instead of lying to all of us and pretending that he's unbiased. That would be fair.
Don't get too cocky, Muncher. All you know right now is that Obama won Georgia with 88% of the Black vote. And that was a given. YOU should be more fair, dear.
See, and I'm an unabashed Obama supporter. Fact is, Massachusetts was looking good for Obama, but it's been called for Hillary. Marc's not exhibiting Hillary bias, he's exhibiting don't-get-your-hopes-up bias. Not an unwise thing to peddle, really.
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Don't believe the crap about young people turning out in low numbers. They'll tick up soon.
Posted by George | February 5, 2008 6:02 PM