Ohio Exit Polls: The Same Story

The durable demographic coalitions that Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton have built are holding -- or, in Clinton's case, after Wisconsin, re-forming.

Clinton won women; Obama won men; Clinton won white men; Clinton won among voters making less than $50,000; Obama won among the affluent; Clinton won among Hispanics; Obama won among African Americans; Obama won among Dems with college degrees; Clinton won among Dems without college degrees; Clinton won among Dems; Obama won among independents and Republicans.

Comments

The current CNN exit is for 1577 respondents in OH.

Previous nights there's been a late update, right? Watch that number...

Posted by kid oakland | March 4, 2008 8:04 PM

To some extent, that's true. Hillary Clinton did win White Independents who she lost in a lot of states including her own home state of New York. But, it's worth noting that Ohio in particular has a lot of unemployment problems. It's hit harder than Wisconsin by economic issues and WI was a neighboring state. Also, Clinton mostly won by dominating in Northeast Ohio.

Posted by Dark Heart | March 4, 2008 8:04 PM

Uh-oh! Ambinder's turned off comments in his latest post. Does that mean an end to comments at the reported blog on politics?

Stay tuned.

Posted by Jeff Larson | March 4, 2008 8:07 PM

Given this, I just can't see how Obama wins Ohio.

Posted by KobayashiMaru | March 4, 2008 8:09 PM

To some extent, but HRC did win white indies, who she lost in her own home state. Nice talking point. But it's worth noting that OH's somewhat unique situation, economically.

Posted by Dark Heart | March 4, 2008 8:12 PM

Evidently several Texas counties just posted their early voting numbers. Obama leads by 55,000 votes (153,000-98,000).

Developing....

Posted by Jeff Larson | March 4, 2008 8:15 PM

It looks like Clinton won 51-48 or somewhere in that neighborhood (excluding early voting). If that number holds, she won't pick up much in the way of net delegates.

Posted by Keith Hussein | March 4, 2008 8:16 PM

The intrade.com markets have broken strongly for CLinton in OH and Obama in TX.

Posted by JK | March 4, 2008 8:53 PM

I personally suspect this is once again a case of regionalism trumping demographics. Ohio is a regional cross-roads, and I suspect that when all the reports come in, it will turn out that the reason Ohio and Wisconsin did not end up the same is that Clinton performed well in "her" regions (the ones in the East and South of Ohio).

Posted by DTM | March 4, 2008 9:59 PM

The durable demographic coalitions that Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton have built are holding -- or, in Clinton's case, after Wisconsin, re-forming.

Told ya.

It didn't fall apart in Wisconsin. The white independents distorted the results. She won the white Democra vote.

And as I type this, Clinton wins Texas.

Posted by Cal | March 5, 2008 12:47 AM