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McCain's Economy: Major Tax Reform, No Austerity

15 Apr 2008 06:04 am

The message from Sen. John McCain's economic speech today seems to be that the economic policies of both parties are dogmatic and ill-equipped to harness the energy and contain the excesses of the modern economy.

"In so many ways, we need to make a clean break from the worst excesses of both political parties," he plans to say in his economic policy speech today.

"The great goal is to get the American economy running at full strength again, creating the opportunities Americans expect and the jobs Americans need," McCain plans to say.

Deficit reduction?

McCain had promised to balance the budget by 2012. That promise does not appear in the excerpts of the speech provided to a reporter last night. Indeed, a top McCain policy adviser said he would counsel all the presidential candidates not to talk about deficit reduction with the economy in its present condition.

More important to McCain are concepts like tax reform and "wasteful spending."

The headline-making proposals are:

--Major tax reform. The broad sketch: "When this reform is enacted, all who wish to file under the current system could still do so. And everyone else could choose a vastly less complicated system with two tax rates and a generous standard deduction." No specifics yet given.

-- McCain promises to veto every spending bill containing earmarks (this is not new, but it is now an official campaign promise). Same thing with his vow to cut the corporate tax from 35% to 25%. He also proposes to increase the dependent deduction from $3500 to $7500.

-- McCain wants a one-year pause in discretionary spending while every government agency reviews its spending and practices from top to bottom;

-- McCain plans to ask seniors earning more than $160,000 to help pay for their prescription drug coverage

-- McCain plans a reconfiguration of the country's unemployment insurance system

-- McCain wants the government this year to avoid collecting gas taxes from Memorial Day to Labor Day

You can see the full excerpts after the jump.

Full excerpts from McCain's speech today:


Thank you. I appreciate the hospitality of the Allegheny Business Conference … the Pittsburgh Tech Council … and the students and faculty of Carnegie Mellon University. We have a strong showing this morning from the Carnegie Mellon Naval ROTC unit as well. And I'm happy to be with all of you.

In our free society, it is left to each one of us to make our own way in the world – and our jobs, businesses, savings, pensions, farms, and homes are the work of years. Take these away and you are diminishing a lot more than the GDP, or the final tally on the Big Board on Wall Street. Take these away, and a million dreams are undone. The gains of hard work and sacrifice are lost. And something can be lost that is very crucial in our economy, and very slow to return – confidence.

Economic policy is not just some academic exercise, and we in Washington are not just passive spectators. We have a responsibility to act – and if I am elected president I intend to act quickly and decisively. We need reforms that promote growth and opportunity. We need rules that assure fairness and punish wrongdoing in the market. We need tax policies that respect the wage-earners and job creators who make this economy run, and help them to succeed in a global economy. In all of this, it will not be enough to simply dust off the economic policies of four, eight, or twenty-eight years ago. We have our own work to do. We have our own challenges to meet.

Americans are also right to be offended when the extravagant salaries and severance deals of CEO's – in some cases, the very same CEO's who helped to bring on these market troubles – bear no relation to the success of the company or the wishes of shareholders. Something is seriously wrong when the American people are left to bear the consequences of reckless corporate conduct, while Mr. Cayne of Bear Stearns, Mr. Mozilo of Countrywide, and others are packed off with another forty- or fifty million for the road.

In the same way, many in Congress think Americans are under-taxed. They speak as if letting you keep your own earnings were an act of charity, and now they have decided you've had enough. By allowing many of the current low tax rates to expire, they would impose – overnight – the single largest tax increase since the Second World War. Among supporters of a tax increase are Senators Obama and Clinton. Both promise big "change." And a trillion dollars in new taxes over the next decade would certainly fit that description.

Of course, they would like you to think that only the very wealthy will pay more in taxes, but the reality is quite different. Under my opponents' various tax plans, Americans of every background would see their taxes rise – seniors, parents, small business owners, and just about everyone who has even a modest investment in the market. All these tax increases are the fine print under the slogan of "hope": They're going to raise your taxes by thousands of dollars per year – and they have the audacity to hope you don't mind.

In so many ways, we need to make a clean break from the worst excesses of both political parties. For Republicans, it starts with reclaiming our good name as the party of spending restraint. Somewhere along the way, too many Republicans in Congress became indistinguishable from the big-spending Democrats they used to oppose. The only power of government that could stop them was the power of veto, and it was rarely used.

If that authority is entrusted to me, I will use the veto as needed, and as the Founders intended. I will veto every bill with earmarks, until the Congress stops sending bills with earmarks. I will seek a constitutionally valid line-item veto to end the practice once and for all. I will lead across-the-board reforms in the federal tax code, removing myriad corporate tax loopholes that are costly, unfair, and inconsistent with a free-market economy.

As president, I will also order a prompt and thorough review of the budgets of every federal program, department, and agency. While that top to bottom review is underway, we will institute a one-year pause in discretionary spending increases with the necessary exemption of military spending and veterans benefits. "Discretionary spending" is a term people throw around a lot in Washington, while actual discretion is seldom exercised. Instead, every program comes with a built-in assumption that it should go on forever, and its budget increase forever. My administration will change that way of thinking.

In my administration there will be no more subsidies for special pleaders … no more corporate welfare … no more throwing around billions of dollars of the people's money on pet projects, while the people themselves are struggling to afford their homes, groceries, and gas. We are going to get our priorities straight in Washington – a clean break from years of squandered wealth and wasted chances.

The goal of reform, however, is not merely to check waste and keep a tidy budget process – although these are important enough in themselves. The great goal is to get the American economy running at full strength again, creating the opportunities Americans expect and the jobs Americans need. And one very direct way to achieve that is by taking the savings from earmark, program review, and other budget reforms – on the order of 100 billion dollars annually – and use those savings to lower the business income tax for every employer that pays it.

So I will send to Congress a proposal to cut the taxes these employers pay, from a rate of 35 to 25 percent. As it is, we have the second-highest tax on business in the industrialized world. High tax rates are driving many businesses and jobs overseas – and, of course, our foreign competitors wouldn't mind if we kept it that way. But if I am elected president, we're going to get rid of that drag on growth and job creation, and help American workers compete with any company in the world.

I will also send to the Congress a middle-class tax cut – a complete phase-out of the Alternative Minimum Tax to save more than 25 million middle-class families more than 2,000 dollars every year.

Our tax laws and those who enforce them should treat all citizens with respect, whether they are married or single. But mothers and fathers bear special responsibilities, and the tax code must recognize this. Inflation has eroded the value of the exemption for dependents. I will send to Congress a reform to increase the exemption – with the goal of doubling it from 3,500 dollars to 7,000 dollars for every dependent, in every family in America.

The tax laws of America should also promote and reward innovation, because innovation creates jobs. Tax laws should not smother the ingenuity of our people with needless regulations and disincentives. So I will propose and sign into law a reform agenda to permit the first-year expensing of new equipment and technology … to ban Internet taxes, permanently … to ban new cell phone taxes … and to make the tax credit for R&D permanent, so that we never lose our competitive edge.

It is not enough, however, to make little fixes here and there in the tax code. What we need is a simpler, a flatter, and a fair tax code. As president, I will propose an alternative tax system. When this reform is enacted, all who wish to file under the current system could still do so. And everyone else could choose a vastly less complicated system with two tax rates and a generous standard deduction. Americans do not resent paying their rightful share of taxes – what they do resent is being subjected to thousands of pages of needless and often irrational rules and demands from the IRS. We know from experience that no serious reform of the current tax code will come out of Congress, so now it is time to turn the decision over to the people. We are going to create a new and simpler tax system – and give the American people a choice.

Americans also worry about stagnant wages, which are caused in part by the rising cost of health care. Each year employers pay more and more for insurance, leaving less and less to pay their employees. As president, I will propose and relentlessly advocate changes that will bring down health care costs, make health care more affordable and accessible, help individuals and families buy their health insurance with generous tax credits, and enable you to keep your insurance when you change jobs.

Many retired Americans face the terrible reality of deciding whether to buy food, pay rent or buy their prescriptions. And their government should help them. But when we added the prescription drug benefit to Medicare, a new and costly entitlement, we included many people who are more than capable of purchasing their own medicine without assistance from taxpayers who struggle to purchase their own. People like Bill Gates and Warren Buffet don't need their prescriptions underwritten by taxpayers. Those who can afford to buy their own prescription drugs should be expected to do so. This reform alone will save billions of dollars that could be returned to taxpayers or put to better use.

When new trading partners can sell in our market, and American companies can sell in theirs, the gains are great and they are lasting. The strength of the American economy offers a better life to every society we trade with, and the good comes back to us in many ways – in better jobs, higher wages, and lower prices. Free trade can also give once troubled and impoverished nations a stake in the world economy, and in their relations with America. In the case of Colombia, a friend and crucial democratic ally, its stability and economic vitality are more critical now, as others in the region seek to turn Latin America away from democracy and away from our country. Trade serves all of these national interests, and the interests of the American economy as well – and I call on the Congress once again to put this vital agreement to an up or down vote.

These reforms must wait on the next election, but to help our workers and our economy we must also act in the here and now. And we must start with the subprime mortgage crisis, with the hundreds of thousands of citizens who played by the rules, yet now fear losing their houses. Under the HOME plan I have proposed, our government will offer these Americans direct and immediate help that can make all the difference: If you can't make your payments, and you're in danger of foreclosure, you will be able to go to any Post Office and pick up a form for a new HOME loan. In place of your flawed mortgage loan, you'll be eligible for a new, 30-year fixed-rate loan backed by the United States government. Citizens will keep their homes, lenders will cut their losses, and everyone will move on – following the sounder practices that should have been observed in the first place.

I propose that the federal government suspend all taxes on gasoline now paid by the American people – from Memorial Day to Labor Day of this year. The effect will be an immediate economic stimulus – taking a few dollars off the price of a tank of gas every time a family, a farmer, or trucker stops to fill up. Over the same period, our government should suspend the purchase of oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which has also contributed to the rising price of oil. This measure, combined with the summer-long "gas-tax holiday," will bring a timely reduction in the price of gasoline. And because the cost of gas affects the price of food, packaging, and just about everything else, these immediate steps will help to spread relief across the American economy.

By summer's end, moreover, millions of college students will be counting on their student loans to come through – and we need to make sure that happens. These young Americans, including perhaps some of you at CMU, are among the many citizens whose ability to obtain a loan might be seriously hurt by faraway problems not of their own making. So, today, I propose that the Department of Education work with the governors to make sure that each state's guarantee agency has the means and manpower to meet its obligation as a lender-of-last-resort for student loans. In the years ahead, these young Americans will be needed to sustain America's primacy in the global marketplace. And they should not be denied an education because the recklessness of others has made credit too hard to obtain.

These are just some of the reforms I intend to fight for and differences I will debate with whoever my Democratic opponent is. In the weeks and months ahead, I will detail my plans to reform health care in America … to make our schools more accountable to parents and taxpayers … to keep America's edge in technology … to use the power of free markets to grow our economy … to escape our dependence on foreign oil … and to guard against climate change and to be better stewards of the earth. All of these challenges, and more, will face the next president, and I will not leave them for some unluckier generation of leaders to deal with. We are going to restore the confidence of the American people in the future of this great and blessed country.

Comments (20)

Just what we need to solve our energy crisis is to encourage drying up that oil supply much quicker. And, I'm sure the oil companies will be more than willing to offset federal gas tax reductions by increasing the price of gas.

Agreed - this isn't an economic plan as much as weird and sometimes contradictory "wish list". For instance, creating a parallel tax structure is going to be complicated and very expensive. Administering two tax structures is going to be even more complicated and expensive. That won't happen with a pause in descretionary spending.

I doubt it would happen, but I think rather than trying to screw around with different tax systems for people, I wish he'd just propose eliminating corporate taxes altogether. The truth is that consumers pay for those taxes anyway, since companies are not going to sacrifice profitability. I'd be in favor of getting rid of corporate taxes, and to offset the revenue losses, jack up taxes on capital gains and unearned income. Obviously that would be a political non-starter, but there yah go.

hey angry Grandpa McCain, is Iraq war stupid? The greatest burden on economy is the war spending. Even a moron will understand that stopping war funding will help economy but this Grandpa is clueless.

"In so many ways, we need to make a clean break from the worst excesses of both political parties," says Grandpa but he still wants to continue his buddy's Bush's tx cuts to super rich an continue the war. Who is Grandpa fooling??

Grandpa needs to wake up from his deep slumber.

McCain

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Bush

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Cheney

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Condi

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Rumsfield

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BearStern

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Halliburton

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Enron

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Abrhamoff

Dear Marc: Is there a way to get rid of comments like Ema's one above? Sometimes one can find interesting comments over here, but these kind of fanatics spoil the whole experience...

Tax cuts, government reforms (ending earmarks is VERY IMPORTANT, not because the money the congress spends on them but because they create the spending mindset), new spending only for those deserving, as students and homeowners with troubled mortgages. I can't say I dislike it.

"For instance, creating a parallel tax structure is going to be complicated and very expensive. Administering two tax structures is going to be even more complicated and expensive."

Nope. A few europeans country have done it, with very good results.

"'Discretionary spending' is a term people throw around a lot in Washington, while actual discretion is seldom exercised," Sen. McCain said. "Instead, every program comes with a built-in assumption that it should go on forever, and its budget increase forever. My administration will change that way of thinking."

This was my favourite part. It's probably the most urging reform that our government has to face.

Bush's tax cuts for the rich has increased the federal deficit from 5 trillion to approaching 10 trillion this year. At 3-5% interest, the American taxpayers are paying 300-500 billion dollars in taxes just to pay the interest on 10 trillion dollars worth of federal debt. Return the former tax rates to the rich and our soldiers from Iraq. President Bush has been a disaster for everyone but the very rich.

Bush's tax cuts for the rich has increased the federal deficit from 5 trillion to approaching 10 trillion this year. At 3-5% interest, the American taxpayers are paying 300-500 billion dollars in taxes just to pay the interest on 10 trillion dollars worth of federal debt. Return the former tax rates to the rich and our soldiers from Iraq. President Bush has been a disaster for everyone but the very rich.

So McCain is going to make Bush's tax cuts permanent, cut taxes further, strengthen the military, and balance the budget.

The term "fuzzy math" comes to mind. Anybody who could do basic addition and subtraction, and had the remotest grasp of that the economy doesn't continually grow year after year, understood in 2000 that Bush would run deficits. It was inarguable, though it was ignorable.

With McCain, it's even more blatant. Anybody who says McCain is a fiscal conservative is a liar or an idiot. He MIGHT clean up earmarks (which would be a good thing), but that will still leave us hundreds of billions in deficit. The scary thing is that I don't think he really understands that.

News to McCain: Propose two rates and you're still going to get just as much heat as everyone who proposes a flat tax and for the exact same reasons.

Also, does complaining about the size of the tax code really hold sway with many voters anymore? I find Obama's proposals to that effect (ie, you don't even have to do taxes anymore if you withhold) much more compelling.

To GaryT:

You may be right that in the long run we could operate parallel tax structures using the same resource allocation we currently give the IRS (I'm not so sure, but it is certainly possible, especially if there are successful models among European countries). My point was that the process of creating the new system, along with its rollout, is going to be very expensive and complex to get going. And it is this process which will require an investment of resources.

szr

McCain: Eight (8!) homes, $100,000,000.00+ wealth ($100 MILLION), now FOR the tax cuts for the elite that shocked his delicate conscience when he was pretending to be a moderate.

John McCain doesn't know the economy but has "Greenspans" book (the Greenspan who was warned early that the predatory loans would hurt the economy, the same Greenspan whose failure to regulate those loans directly led to the housing meltdown).

John McCain's entire campaign is run by elite lobbyists. Including lobbyists that sold out the countries manufacturing base most recently to Europe's AIRBUS. McCain's now outsourcing our military manufacturing base!

Also, don't forget:

John McCain's also now FOR torture (pretended to be a agaist it).

John McCain thought we'd be greeted as liberators in iraq.

John McCain is an elitist that doesn't understand the economy, doesn't understand regular peoples concerns, doesn't care about American's jobs.

John McCain is a Hooverite Republican that thinks handouts to BEAR sTEARNS is more important than handups to regular Americans, and McCain's military judgement is to hand Europe America's manufacturing base while staying forever in a strategic disaster.

I think McCain is living in a dreamworld if he thinks he can rain in government spending. We would need literally to elect an entirely new Congress and start our entire government over from scratch.

Unfortunatly, dream-peddling got W. elected and he failed to rain in spending, so it might work for McCain too. Hopefully the deficit will not continue to make American sovereignty our chief export and economic uncertainty our chief import.

GaryT, I was wondering what these European countries are. I am not well-versed in alternative tax systems and I would be interested in looking into it.

It always worries me when politicians talk about assuring fairness. From Democrats, it usually means enforced equality and few things are less fair than that. I think I understand McCain's use of the word, but it still worries me that he is beginning to entertain ideas to placate the left. Especially when he bemoans CEO pay. It's a supply and demand economy. Boards of Directors and shareholders agree to these salaries. If they felt them unreasonable, they shouldn't have agreed to them, and if you're a shareholder and you're unhappy, when was the last time you took an interest in the governing body of the corporation?

He says he'll veto EVERY bill with earmarks until they stop coming. Wow. That's a big promise. I suspect the Democrats would make that impossible in the first week. They'll send him a bill he can't possibly veto and tack on one single earmark to test his resolve.

His goal is to get the economy back on track. We must first understand that downturns are part of the business cycle. (In fact, a good part--they let us know when to "buy.") They can't be regulated away. They DO provide good opportunity to fix what's broken, like becoming an impetus to reduce corporate tax rates, but bailouts and quick fixes can create more problems than they fix. Let the market dictate direction. It usually does so very well.

I like the tax code proposals. We should never let imperfection diminish our efforts. Change is this area will be incremental (Sorry Governor Huckabee) and we may need to make several changes and fail as we learn how to make it better. I respect any effort to create a system which may lead to overall improvement. Yes, it'll be hard to manage and yes, it's not enough. But it's an effort. And we always learn from our attempts.

It always worries me when politicians talk about assuring fairness. From Democrats, it usually means enforced equality and few things are less fair than that. I think I understand McCain's use of the word, but it still worries me that he is beginning to entertain ideas to placate the left. Especially when he bemoans CEO pay. It's a supply and demand economy. Boards of Directors and shareholders agree to these salaries. If they felt them unreasonable, they shouldn't have agreed to them, and if you're a shareholder and you're unhappy, when was the last time you took an interest in the governing body of the corporation?

He says he'll veto EVERY bill with earmarks until they stop coming. Wow. That's a big promise. I suspect the Democrats would make that impossible in the first week. They'll send him a bill he can't possibly veto and tack on one single earmark to test his resolve.

His goal is to get the economy back on track. We must first understand that downturns are part of the business cycle. (In fact, a good part--they let us know when to "buy.") They can't be regulated away. They DO provide good opportunity to fix what's broken, like becoming an impetus to reduce corporate tax rates, but bailouts and quick fixes can create more problems than they fix. Let the market dictate direction. It usually does so very well.

I like the tax code proposals. We should never let imperfection diminish our efforts. Change is this area will be incremental (Sorry Governor Huckabee) and we may need to make several changes and fail as we learn how to make it better. I respect any effort to create a system which may lead to overall improvement. Yes, it'll be hard to manage and yes, it's not enough. But it's an effort. And we always learn from our attempts.

Our discourse is so stupid.

I'm supposed to believe a co-pay on seniors earning over $160,000 is gonna make the drug benefit affordable? An AARP report last year found that the median household income for people over 65 was a little over $15,000! It found that 95% of senior households earn less than $100,000 a year. Really, how how many seniors earn over $160,000 annually? How will this co-pay plan add up to anything more than a freaking rounding error? Ask McCain how many people his $160,000 co-pay plan affects. I'm sure he has no clue. I mean, it's like saying that we're going to save money by forcing seniors who are marathoners to contribute more. Heck, I actually think there may be more 65+ marathoners than there are seniors earning $160,000 a year.

McCain's plan as he describes it is to decrease revenue significantly. While decreasing spending insignificantly. And continuing significant off-the-books spending in Iraq, and possibly elsewhere.

Everything he's actually elaborated in his plan adds up to massive deficit spending. The UI and a new tax system are total question marks.

This is Bush's 2000 economic plan all over again. Somehow we're gonna cut taxes on rich people and we're gonna spend more, but by arranging deck chairs on this fiscal Titanic, we're magically gonna balance the budget. Ridiculous.

McCain is falling victim to the central fallacy of all Republican budgets: he actually believes that there's enough money to be cut to pay for X crazy tax cut every year.

Look at our budget. It's medicare, social security, the defense department, and paying interest on the deficit. That's 75+% of our budget.

But Republicans never propose cutting medicare or social security or the defense department because people like those programs and people need those programs. Instead they pretend that there's this huge well of money out there that's waiting to be tapped.

He's under estimating the cost of his tax cuts (in terms of lost revenues) as well as the cost of the Iraq war (which his and Bush's estimates claim will basically be substantially cheaper in the next two years) and then he's over estimating the amount of money that can be saved. In fact, even in his speech, you can see that most of the money he wants saved is from temporary measures that even if they worked, would save a few billion for one year and no longer.

Kudos to him for framing his plan as if it were all common sense, but "earmarks," whatever he thinks that word means, are often things like roads and museums that people actually like getting funding for, and not only would it be politically impossible and inappropriate to get rid of them, but the amount of money they represent is a drop in the bucket of the national budget.

This plan is a joke. Don't even get me started about a national gas tax holiday that would surely drive oil prices higher by spurring higher gas usage.

If you'll excuse me i'm going to the library and bookstore to find books on the robber barons and how they made millions during the great depression, it looks like learning their methods might be beneficial at this point

For over 100 years, from the early 1800s to just after 1913, Americans didn't pay an income tax! So, from where did the government garner its revenues? It was from tariffs. In today’s money this might amount to somewhere between 300 and 800 billion dollars a year! That’s right. Great America, at one time, ran her mighty engines on tariff derived revenues. Only with the implementation of "free trade" and "free market" ideas came the dark day when the American taxpayer had to shoulder the cost of the Federal government (the infamous 16th Amendment of 1913). When Great Britian bought the scatology of "free trade" and "free markets" it lost the economic race to the United States and Prince Bismarck's Germany. Now we have bought the scatology. We are going the way of Great Britian, while the Asian countries are the new America. But we can change--in a heart beat. Just demand tariffs and remember the words of this Representative from, ironically, the great state of Pennsylvina: "Repeal the tariffs [and] adopt. . . 'free trade,' and you will bring down labor here, in every department of industry, to the level of the labor of the serfs and paupers of Europe." -- Andrew Stewart [1836-1903]), Representative from Pennsylvania