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Obama And The White Blue Collar Vote: Wisconsin's The Exception

23 Apr 2008 03:53 pm

Here's Barack Obama, speaking to CNN's Roland Martin: "We have won the white, blue collar vote in a whole bunch of states ... and if we had a demographic problem in Pennsylvania, it was that it's an older state than a lot of states, and it is true that Sen. Clinton has some strong support among voters over 60."

Not in a "whole bunch of states."

Atlantic Media's Ron Brownstein notes to me in an e-mail that, according to the exit polls, Obama has won the white non college voting bloc (e.g., white blue collar voters) in Wisconsin -- 52% -- and lost them everywhere else, even in Illinois, where they narrowly preferred Clinton (50% to 46%).

Writes Ron: "The only other state where he’s reached even 40% of the vote among white non college voters is Virginia, according to the exit polls. In Ohio, he won only 27% of non college white voters; in PA, as of this morning, the number was just 30% (although the exit could be revised slightly)."

Update: The Obama campaign sends along an e-mail:

States where we’ve won voters who make less than $50,000:, Alabama, Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Iowa, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, Missouri, South Carolina, Utah, Virginia, Vermont and Wisconsin. Came within 10 points in: Arizona, Connecticut, New Mexico, Texas.

We're talking here about white blue collar voters as defined by socioeconomic status; in some of these states, John Edwards cut into Clinton's voting bloc (Iowa and South Carolina); in most of the others, African Americans making under $50,000 provided Obama's margin of victory in the demographic (MS, MD, VA and GA). Missouri is a narrow exception, although Obama lost whites without college degrees there. And in Utah, Clinton did not compete.

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