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Some County Level Trends

22 Apr 2008 09:43 pm

A quarter of the statewide vote is in. Clinton leads by a margin of about six points.

With 50% of the vote in Philly having been counted, Obama's margin over Clinton is about 6 to 4 -- less than expected.

The major exurban Philadelphia counties are not in yet -- nothing, for example, from Lancaster Co.

Results from the closer-in surburbs are starting to trickle in (Chester, Bucks, Montgomery.) With 30% of Berks County in, Clinton leads by about ten percentage points.

My guess, based on these returns, is that Clinton's margin will grow a bit. Maybe a point or two?

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