Three Superdelegates For Clinton

They are Rep. Betty Sutton of Ohio and ), Jim Florio and Brendan Byrne of New Jersey. ** According to CBS News's latest delegate estimate, she trails Barack Obama by 140 delegates. Assuming a fairly sizable win in Pennsylvania on Tuesday, she could net as few as five and as many as 20 delegates. Once again, Clinton will do better in the districts with fewer delegates; a few of those (PA 5, PA 12, PA 18, PA 11) allocate five delegates; unless she gets 70% of more of the vote there, she'll win one net delegate (three to two). As in Texas, Obama will be very competitive in delegate-rich urban districts, including Chaka Fattah's PA 2.) (See here for a good guide.) The point is that by Wednesday of next week, Clinton might close the gap to 120. Or it might be 130 -- about where it was three weeks ago. And with every contest, it gets harder and harder for her to catch up. Obviously, the larger the victory, the greater than the chance of an en masse superdelegate defection to her, but those chances remain fairly slim. ** = as a reader notes, Florio and Byrne aren't superdelegates in the conventional sense; they're add-on delegates who were given the status at the party's state convention.