Natch, my latest electoral college ratings are almost exactly the same as the map created by the gang at NBC News. Like them, I sense that a troika of Midwestern states bordering Illinois have become safer for Obama over the past month.
The few differences are pretty meaningless. I don't know enough about North and South Dakota to move then from SOLID McCain to lean McCain. And I'm convinced that Obama has a good shot at winning Nebraska's 2nd congressional district and thus netting a single electoral college vote from NE.
In general, though, Obama is moving toward a position of dominance in the upper Midwest; the industrial and pastoral midwest (Indiana, Michigan, Ohio) are more up for grabs.
It ought to trouble McCain that he has yet to establish a solid foothold in the West.
Solid Obama: CA, CT, DE, DC, HI, IL, ME, MD, MA, NJ, NY, OR, RI, VT, WA (190 electoral votes)
Lean Obama: IA, MN, WI (27 votes)
Toss-up: CO, FL, MI, MO, NV, NM, NH, OH, PA, VA (132 votes)
Lean McCain: AK, GA, IN, MT, NC (47 votes)
SOLID McCain: AL, AZ, AR, ID, KS, KY, LA, MS, ND, NE*, OK, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, WV, WY, SD (142 votes)
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