The House won't vote until Thursday at the earliest, and though there's a chance that the Senate could take up the bill on Wednesday, senior Senate aides are doubtful.
A lot will depend on politics and the market.
What do the markets do between now and Thursday? The credit markets, the stock markets, etc.
How do swing/ind voters assess McCain's effort and do they hold him responsible or ineffectual? You can bet that the Obama campaign and the McCain campaign are polling and holding focus groups to assess this.
Do the Dems change their strategy and recraft a bill that would pass without Republican votes?
Will Republicans try to time a breakthrough Thursday night or Friday morning to trump Sarah Palin's performance?
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