California' Gay Marriage Prop 8: A Tie

Internal polling for proponents of Proposition 8, which would ban same-sex marriage in California, shows the race tied; public polls have it tied at 44% to 44% with 12 percent undecided. Internal polling for opponents of proposition 8 have the race within the margin of error.

So it's real close.  Both sides are accusing other of dirty tactics; someone effectuated a denial-of-service attack on the No side's website.

Yes on 8 director Frank Schubert says his side will have 100,000 volunteers on Election Day.  (That's  unlikely -- initiative directors like to equate their lists with their volunteers -- but even  if he has 5,000 volunteers, it will be impressive.)  Lots of money and people power have been donated through the efforts of the LDS Church and the Knights of Columbus.

A while ago, the No on 8 side was very worried; Patrick Guerrero, a senior political strategist affiliated with uber-gay-Democrat financier Tim Gill and a former executive director of the Log Cabin Republicans, was brought on board to save the efforts. He raised a lot of money very quickly. A week and a half ago, Guy Cecil, who helped to engineer Hillary Clinton's (too) late-in-the-reason victories in PA and OH, joined as a senior strategist.