« They Took Our Jobs... | Main | Lots Of "Anonymous" McCain Donors Too » CBS/NYT Poll: Obama at 53%14 Oct 2008 06:30 pm
The jawdropping numbers from the CBS News / New York Times poll are, yes, the top-line...Obama leads among likely voters 53% to 39%. But more than that: which candidate will raise your taxes? Respondents, by 51% to 46%, say it's McCain. (Why? One reason might be Obama's advertising, which claims that McCain's health care plan would raise taxes for "millions" of Americans.) And preparation and readiness to be president don't seem to be terribly important: 64% percent of the country thinks McCain is ready, but, generalizing here, a heck of a lot of those folks are voting against him. He's tied among whites, shooting up fifteen percentage points since the last survey; he's winning men and women; he's marginally improving his standing among white evangelicals; he's substantially improved his standing among self-described moderates and among independents (a full third of this group swung toward Obama); Obama's now getting 82% of Clinton supporters.
You can bet that McCain's polling team will respond to this one...a lot of the deltas in this poll are probably unprecedented for their time period.  Some interesting nuggets: ** 14% of Republicans and 13% of independents think Obama is a Muslim. ** Of the 21% of the sample whose views of McCain have darkened, a quarter say it's because of his pick of Sarah Palin; a quarter say it's because of his attacks on McCain. ** 79% of Americans think Barack Obama would treat blacks and whites equally. TrackBackListed below are links to weblogs that reference CBS/NYT Poll: Obama at 53%:
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WOW. That topline is freaking amazing! I know it's probably not that high; but WOW. I wish the election were tommorow, I'd feel good about winning, lol. Three weeks out all I've got are butterflies and nausea.
I cannot convey how happy I am about this. Implying that your opponent is a Muslim terrorist and having your unqualified sidekick out there making the ugliest of attacks is beyond the pale. It is about time that a large price is paid for such ugly politicking. Goodbye to the Bushes, the McCains, the Atwaters, the Roves, the Rick Davis', the Steve Schmidts, the Nicole and Mark Wallaces. You all need to be run out of this town on a rail. You came into this place, our place, and you trashed it, and it wasn't your place to trash. Get out.
Nate explains why this number is consistent with an 8-point Obama lead, which is about where the rest of the national polling has him.
I think you need to check a few of your McCain's and Obama's, this was a bit confusing. But yeah, not good for the McCain camp. The undecided % seems high for this point in the cycle, however. But then again, if Obama's at 53%, it doesn't matter which way the undecideds break.
I think it's obvious that the bounce that Obama got from the economy tanking is not going away. He's sustained it now for a few weeks. Perfect timing.
Consider replacing some of your "he"s with a name or two. Also, you have McCain attacking McCain on your 2nd bullet point. Other than that, good news. Still not taking anything for granted. Much work to be done!
As an aside, reading the comments over on the NY Times site... don't you just love the people who attack the validity of a poll by stating that "neither I nor any of my friends have ever been polled"? Genius, there are 300,000,000 people in this country and probably 150,000,000 registered voters. They poll about 1,000 people. Do the math. I bet these people don't trust TV ratings either. Or their doctor when he checks their cholesterol - after all, he didn't check every blood cell, did he?
FWIW, Put me in the category that thinks that McCain would raise my taxes. I work for the state in large part because of the benefits package for my family. We have close to zero out-of-pocket costs, but that means that the value of that health package is high, and would cost us serious money if taxed. The tax credit he would offer can only be used for medical costs, which we have virtually none of, so we would pay and get virtually nothing in return. Anyone with a good plan like this (basically everyone in the public sector) would get killed.
One order of Landslide, with extra coattails on the side, coming right up.
Off topic but required. You are becoming utterly irrelevant Ambinder. Discard your 'John McCain has a strong chance to win the election' spiel that I saw here a couple of weeks ago. You're just as bad or worse than the analysts who still call WI, MI, MN toss up states. Get a clue. You have twenty something days left to save face.
So a poll done by the leftist socialist/marxists media groups CBS/NY Times found that Obama is leading. What a shocker! Obama, who associates with America haters like Rev. Wright and domestic terrorist Bill Ayres is loved by the left. Here's a news flash for the left; Obama isn't the second comming of Christ. He will loose.
Hey Pete the Palin-tologist. Can you even define socialism and marxism? Copy and pasting from Wingnuts Anonymous is worth nothing. Oh...it's lose....not loose. Better luck next time. How's that crystal meth?
8 years of epic destruction, two wars, a destroyed city, a collapsed economy, a ruined Wall Street.... but, finally......Americans have figured it out: Republicans are bad for America.
TO ALL REPUGBLICANS: The same questions and doubts presented during this Presidential Election are 8 years too late. You had 2000 and 2004 to ask the same questions you're incorrectly presenting to Senator Obama. Associations to terrorists? Ask Bush about his associations with the dad of the assasin called Bin Laden. More associations? That's how S-L-O-W your brains work.
So is the 13-14% inline with the number of people who think Nader is a Klingon and Wolf Blitzer is a North Korean plant--the wing nut margin, in other words?
Fabulous news! Americans are waking up and seeing what Barack Obama stands for and what he can give to America. Obama is a very intelligent, balanced, young,wellspoken, worldclass Diplomatic and highly educated man with 20 years of experience dealing with real issues and people....... not sitting on a chair like McCain and voting 90% of the time supporting Bush's disastrous 8 years government.
Has there ever been a poll like this one where the Democrat does better with Democrats than the Republican does with Republicans?
Good to see this poll result. Seems a little of an outlier, but pretty close. I have Obama up big in my latest electoral projection:
Pete types: "Here's a news flash for the left; Obama isn't the second comming of Christ. He will loose." Uh huh. "Comming" and "loose." The wingnuts don't even realize how ignorant they are, do they?
Meanwhile, Obama said in last speach, that He ll become a president for 8 years: http://www.cortalink.com/?1uyjer44 (full video 25min)
Meanwhile, Obama said in last speach, that He ll become a president for 8 years: www.cortalink.com/?1uyjer44 (full video 25min)
"The wingnuts don't even realize how ignorant they are, do they?" No, they are constantly told that they need leaders "just like them" who have never seen a college campus outside of a theater playing "Animal House."
John McCain does have an actual record. Barack Obama on the other hand, wants to disavow the things that he has done, while taking credit for the things that he has not done. How could Mr. Obama have arrived at such a strategy? In January 2001, Bill Clinton pardoned Weather Underground Organization members Susan Rosenberg and Linda Evans, but he didn’t exactly advertise it. During the Vietnam War, while John McCain endured a North Vietnamese prison, a bearded “Slick Willie” also participated in "teach-ins," in the Soviet Union. He didn’t shout that from the rooftops either. While we played by the rules, WUO founder William Ayers and others tinkered with explosives. It was a good career move: lucrative teaching positions, generous grants, and political pardons were but a few perks that followed the still intact terrorists. When a candidate like Sarah Palin gets slammed for traditional values, and an unrepentant Bill Ayers gets lionized for acts of violence, it makes me know how far we've slid as a nation. In 1995, Bill Clinton would declare himself the “education president,” yet never mentions what he did in that capacity. The Russians have a saying: the fish rots from the head: http://theseedsof9-11.com
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** Of the 21% of the sample whose views of McCain have darkened, a quarter say it's because of his pick of Sarah Palin; a quarter say it's because of his attacks on McCain.
"...attacks on Obama" you mean?! Surely voters haven't realized McCain is actually attacking himself?!!
Posted by spook | October 14, 2008 6:34 PM