Dem Int'l: Obama Down Five In South Dakota

A Democrat sends along an internal poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner  for Sen. Tim Johnson in South Dakota.  

Johnson's cruising to re-election.

But the poll, which surveyed 613 voters on Monday and Tuesday, gives Sen. John McCain a five point lead, 45% to 40% with ten percent undecided.  This, in a state won by President George W. Bush by 21 percentage points  (80,000 votes) in 2004.

The poll oversampled Republicans by two points and found that 45% of its sample considered themselves conservative.

JohnsonOct29TrackPoll.doc

Also: Democrats are almost tied in early/absentee vote ballot returns; Republicans had a huge edge in 2004.

Besides the national message -- GWB has a net negative warm/cool rating -- Democrats are touting Obama's support for the last major farm bill and for ethanol subsidies. McCain opposed both.