Early Vote In Georgia

So African Americans make up 36% of the early vote turnout in Georgia.

A Republican who is tracking the data predicts that black voters will make up 35-36% of the electorate --  C + 5.

That is -- their proportion in the census (29%) plus five points.

An Obama campaign aide tells me separately that many of these voters are sporadic presidential voters.

And in 2004, black voters made up about 25% of total turnout.

Doesn't mean that Obama's going to win Georgia...

It just means that he'll do a lot better there than John Kerry.